All posts in "Market Update"

Market (ES) Breakdown Starting Now

Yesterday we looked at the confirmation of the flag breakdown… See post here

http://thetraderswire.com/market-es-eminent-breakdown/

Today we are seeing the beginnings of this move. Traditional flag tech analysis 101 indicates a move towards the 2100 range.

You can clearly see the Fed trying to goose this and keep it from a trend day down, and we are a little off the lows of the day, but this is the start of a short-term down move – I believe.

Thoughts?

es-2016-10-07_10-59-36

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BRIEF-Moleculin Biotech announces plan for clinical trial drug production

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building-50084_640from Pixabay

BRIEF-Moleculin Biotech announces plan for clinical trial drug production


Oct 7 Moleculin Biotech Inc

 

* Has secured an agreement with Dermin Sp. Zo. O. (“Dermin”)
to utilize Dermin’s supply of Annamycin for its upcoming
clinical trial

 

* Agreement reached allows company to utilize Annamycin in
upcoming clinical trials rather than having to produce new
Annamycin for own use

 

* Expanded clinical trials on Annamycin by first half of
2017

 

* Company plans to begin expanded clinical trials on
Annamycin by first half of 2017

Source text for Eikon

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Published at Fri, 07 Oct 2016 12:14:17 +0000

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Friday: Jobs

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Friday: Jobs

by Bill McBride on 10/06/2016 07:24:00 PM

On Hurricane Matthew, here is the NHC site.

And here is the Miami radar.

And the Melbourne radar.

And for Jacksonville.

Best wishes to all.

Friday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, the Employment Report for September. The consensus is for an increase of 168,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in September, up from the 151,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in August. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 4.8%.

• At 3:00 PM, Consumer credit from the Federal Reserve.  The consensus is for a $16.8 billion increase in credit.

Read more at http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2016/10/friday-jobs.html#VETrLrc1oYjSBFYz.99

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Published at Thu, 06 Oct 2016 23:24:00 +0000

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Why Japan and Europe Have Two Completely Different Plans for Their Unprofitable Banks

Why Japan and Europe Have Two Completely Different Plans for Their Unprofitable Banks

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Banks in Europe and Japan, where interest rates are negative, are increasingly unprofitable. But financial and monetary authorities are taking very different approaches, and fresh data from the IMF suggests that both may have good ideas.
Published at Thu, 06 Oct 2016 15:05:00 +0000

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After Hurricane Matthew, five ways to deal with damage

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By Gellinger from PixabayAfter Hurricane Matthew, five ways to deal with damage

By Beth Pinsker
| NEW YORK

After Hurricane Matthew blows by the U.S. Southeast, the insurance adjusters will come out.

Here are five tips on dealing with the aftermath, from Loretta Worters, vice president of the Insurance Information Institute trade group:

1. Your roof blows off

Windstorm damage is covered under standard homeowners policies, both for private homes and privately owned apartments, and under renters policies for damage to personal belongings. But there may be significant differences in deductibles, depending on your state. Policy parameters may vary when it comes to the storm’s severity. In Florida, you may pay more – up to a 15 percent deductible – depending on your proximity to the coast.

Any rain damage to the interior and your furnishings that occurs because of a hole blown in your building will also be covered, but not if the water is rising from the ground in a flooding situation.

2. Street flooding swamps your house

Flooding from the ground up is not covered by standard homeowners policies. No matter how many times insurance professionals point this out, people tend to forget about flood coverage or just do not want to deal with the additional costs. You need to get a flood policy directly from the government, with prices varying by risk zones (www.floodsmart.gov).

“People will buy a Starbucks coffee every day for a year, and that’s OK. That’s not too far away in price from getting the flood insurance, but they won’t get it,” says Worters.

For those living in apartment buildings, it is important to find out if the building has flood coverage as well, Worters notes.

3. A tree falls on your house

Tree damage is one of the most common problems after a big storm. After the storm, however, adjusters tend to the biggest claims first. You might wait a while for your turn, especially if there are power outages in your area.

Worters says it is fine to go ahead and make minor fixes to prevent more damage from happening. Just take pictures first and do not risk any personal injuries walking on shaky roofs or climbing a teetering tree.

To prepare ahead of time, take a photo inventory of your house and store it online. The Insurance Information Institute provides a free app called Know Your Stuff (knowyourstuff.org/) for this purpose.

4. Your car gets submerged or damaged by debris

Auto damage is probably the easiest disaster to deal with because storm damage is covered under the comprehensive section of your auto policy. This type of coverage is optional in most states, but many car owners take it out anyway.

It does not matter if your car is parked on the street or in a garage when the damage happens, if it is hit by a falling branch or by a floating hazard. “It’s very clear-cut,” says Worters.

5. Your insurance company goes bankrupt

When Hurricane Andrew hit Florida in 1992, it caused $24 billion in damages to Florida and Louisiana, according to the Insurance Information Institute. Over the ensuing years, seven of the 10 costliest hurricanes have involved Florida. That has driven insurance companies out of business and raised rates in other states as national companies try to recoup their losses.

But the industry is on good financial footing right now, according to Worters, with a record surplus industry wide of more than $680 billion. In case of problems with smaller companies, there is a guarantee fund that protects policyholders if their provider goes belly-up.

“They’re in the best shape ever to pay claims,” says Worters.

(Editing by Lauren Young and Jonathan Oatis)

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Published at Thu, 06 Oct 2016 20:58:38 +0000

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Hurricanes and Weekly Unemployment Claims

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Hurricanes and Weekly Unemployment Claims

Hurricanes and Weekly Unemployment Claims

by Bill McBride on 10/06/2016 11:24:00 AM

Major hurricane Matthew might cause severe damage on the east coast of Florida over the next couple of days.

From the NHC:

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 77.8 West. The eye is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) between Andros Island and Nassau in the Bahamas. This general motion is expected to continue today with a turn toward the north-northwest tonight or early Friday. On the forecast track, Matthew should cross the northwestern Bahamas later today and move close to or over the east coast of the Florida peninsula through Friday night.

Reports form an Air Force plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible, and Matthew should remain a Category 4 hurricane while it approaches the Florida coast.
emphasis added

image: https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-YGgywxiV7LY/V_Zp6D3HNuI/AAAAAAAApAQ/F9EAa6cKP-on8FU5n4dGet7IdpNfdq9TgCLcB/s320/MatthewOct62016.PNG

Click on graph for larger image.

This image from the NHC shows the current forecast track for Hurricane Matthew.

The forecast track is for Matthew to rake the east coast of Florida and Georgia, and then – hopefully – turn out to the Atlantic.

Depending on the damage, we might see a spike in unemployment claims over the next few weeks related to the hurricane.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 2000.

image: https://4.bp.blogspot.com/–TdNTjbWz44/V_ZqrkgGq5I/AAAAAAAApAU/xm87EuuX_NA6jEu7UXAfuXtvWYZNBUEbgCLcB/s320/HurriancesClaims.PNG

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average.

Notice that there was a spike in claims following Hurricane Katrina in 2005, and also a smaller spike in claims related to Hurricane Sandy in 2012.

Hopefully Matthew will not cause severe damage.

Read more at http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2016/10/hurricanes-and-weekly-unemployment.html#ZxFrGtgRij2Vzs1E.99

by Bill McBride on 10/06/2016 11:24:00 AM

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Published at Thu, 06 Oct 2016 15:24:00 +0000

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Market (ES) Eminent Breakdown?

We have been forming a classic Flag pattern for some time now and yesterday finally broke down through the support levels.

Just as you would expect, the market is today testing the underside of the Flag perfectly.

The bid is also getting weaker and weaker.

So, the question is, short here?

Classic Flag Breakdown and retest.

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Reuters: Global Markets

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By Alexas_Fotos from PixabayReuters: Global Markets

Reuters: Global MarketsReuters: Global MarketsPfizer walks away from $118 billion AstraZeneca takeover fight

http://feeds.reuters.com/reuters/globalmarketsNews Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world’s media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. http://feeds.reuters.com/reuters/globalmarketsNews http://www.reuters.com/resources_v2/images/reuters125.png http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/globalmarketsNews/~3/Y5I23vee_3k/us-astrazeneca-pfizer-idUSBREA3R0H520140526 http://www.reuters.com/article/us-astrazeneca-pfizer-idUSBREA3R0H520140526?feedType=RSS&feedName=globalMarketsNews <div class=”related-photo-container”> <img src=”http://s1.reutersmedia.net/resources/r/?m=02&amp;d=20140526&amp;t=2&amp;i=900106729&amp;w=780&amp;fh=&amp;fw=&amp;ll=&amp;pl=&amp;sq=&amp;r=CBREA460M4L00″ border=”0″ alt=”The Pfizer logo is seen at their world headquarters in New York April 28, 2014. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly”/></div> <div class=”module-meta group”> <div class=”module-caption”> The Pfizer logo is seen at their world headquarters in New York April 28, 2014. <span class=”module-credit”> REUTERS/Andrew Kelly</span> </div> </div><p><strong><a href=”https://blockads.fivefilters.org”>Let’s block ads!</a></strong> <a href=”https://github.com/fivefilters/block-ads/wiki/There-are-no-acceptable-ads”>(Why?)</a></p> Mon, 26 May 2014 15:55:17 +0000 it text/html http://www.reuters.com/article/us-astrazeneca-pfizer-idUSBREA3R0H520140526?feedType=RSS&feedName=globalMarketsNews globalMarketsNews

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Greenbackd

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By Couleur from PixabayGreenbackd

GreenbackdGreenbackdThe Perfect Buy-and-Hold Forever StockSpeaking in Philadelphia at The MicroCap Conference 2016 on October 24th and 25thA Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price

http://ftr.fivefilters.org/makefulltextfeed.php?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgreenbackd.com%2Ffeed%2F&max=5 Deep value, contrarian, and activist investment http://ftr.fivefilters.org/makefulltextfeed.php?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgreenbackd.com%2Ffeed%2F&max=5 https://secure.gravatar.com/blavatar/45063ac3b5db5ca12793a9fed6517e9e?s=96&d=https%3A%2F%2Fs2.wp.com%2Fi%2Fbuttonw-com.png https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/19/the-perfect-buy-and-hold-forever-stoc/ http://greenbackd.com/?p=84992 <div class=”posttitle” readability=”26.571428571429″> <h2>The Perfect Buy-and-Hold Forever Stock</h2> <p class=”post-info”>September 19, 2016 by <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/author/greenbackd/” title=”Posts by Tobias Carlisle”>Tobias Carlisle</a></p> </div> <div class=”entry” readability=”31.467768595041″> <p><img class=”aligncenter size-full wp-image-84295″ src=”https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/singular-diligence-header.png?w=500&amp;h=211″ alt=”Singular Diligence Header” width=”500″ height=”211″ /></p> <h2 class=”null”>A Rare Business Model</h2> <p>Since 2008 this company has converted 58 cents of every dollar of EBIT into free cash flow. This is like a company with a 35% tax rate converting 90% of reported after-tax earnings into free cash flow. All the while it was paying interest and growing sales at rates above nominal GDP growth.</p> <p>If you’re looking for a stock to buy and hold forever, this is your stock. This is a perfect buy and hold forever stock.</p> <p><a href=”http://singulardiligence.com/luxottica-borsa-italiana-lux/” target=”_blank”>Click here to learn more</a></p> <div id=”jp-post-flair” class=”sharedaddy sd-rating-enabled sd-like-enabled sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”sd-block sd-rating”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Rate this:</h3> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Share this:</h3> </div> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-block sd-like jetpack-likes-widget-wrapper jetpack-likes-widget-unloaded” id=”like-post-wrapper-5581605-84992-57f51c0db4a75″ data-src=”//widgets.wp.com/likes/#blog_id=5581605&amp;post_id=84992&amp;origin=greenbackd.wordpress.com&amp;obj_id=5581605-84992-57f51c0db4a75″ data-name=”like-post-frame-5581605-84992-57f51c0db4a75″> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Like this:</h3> <p><span class=”button”><span>Like</span></span> <span class=”loading”>Loading…</span></p> </div> </div> </div> <p class=”postmetadata”>Posted in <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/category/strategy/” rel=”category tag”>Strategy</a> | 1 Comment</p> <br /><p><strong><a href=”https://blockads.fivefilters.org”>Let’s block ads!</a></strong> <a href=”https://github.com/fivefilters/block-ads/wiki/There-are-no-acceptable-ads”>(Why?)</a></p> Mon, 19 Sep 2016 15:00:17 +0000 Tobias Carlisle article The Perfect Buy-and-Hold Forever Stock https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/19/the-perfect-buy-and-hold-forever-stoc/ A Rare Business Model Since 2008 this company has converted 58 cents of every dollar of EBIT into free cash flow. This is like a company with a 35% tax rate converting 90% of reported after-tax ear… https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/singular-diligence-header.png en text/html https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/19/the-perfect-buy-and-hold-forever-stoc/ Strategy https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/08/speaking-in-philadelphia-at-the-microcap-conference-2016-on-october-24th-and-25th/ http://greenbackd.com/?p=84821 <div class=”posttitle” readability=”28.840336134454″> <h2>Speaking in Philadelphia at The MicroCap Conference 2016 on October 24th and 25th</h2> <p class=”post-info”>September 8, 2016 by <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/author/greenbackd/” title=”Posts by Tobias Carlisle”>Tobias Carlisle</a></p> </div> <div class=”entry” readability=”32.939295039164″> <p><img class=”aligncenter size-full wp-image-84823″ src=”https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/09/micro-cap-conference.png?w=500&amp;h=189″ alt=”micro-cap-conference” width=”500″ height=”189″ /></p> <p>I’ll be speaking about my <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/research/”>books and research</a> in Philadelphia at The MicroCap Conference on October 24th and 25th. Should be a lot of fun.</p> <blockquote readability=”12″> <p>The focus of The MicroCap Conference is to highlight the most attractive companies across various sectors. We will be bringing up to 75 companies in addition to expert speakers to present to the audience. October 24th and 25th will be jam-packed with company sessions, presentations, industry panels, good food, and of course plenty of time to network with other investors over drinks.</p> </blockquote> <p>For tickets and more information, click here–&gt;<a href=”http://microcapconf.com/conferences/philadelphia-2016/”>Philadelphia 2016 – The MicroCap Conference</a></p> <div id=”jp-post-flair” class=”sharedaddy sd-rating-enabled sd-like-enabled sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”sd-block sd-rating”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Rate this:</h3> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Share this:</h3> </div> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-block sd-like jetpack-likes-widget-wrapper jetpack-likes-widget-unloaded” id=”like-post-wrapper-5581605-84821-57f51c0ddfa55″ data-src=”//widgets.wp.com/likes/#blog_id=5581605&amp;post_id=84821&amp;origin=greenbackd.wordpress.com&amp;obj_id=5581605-84821-57f51c0ddfa55″ data-name=”like-post-frame-5581605-84821-57f51c0ddfa55″> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Like this:</h3> <p><span class=”button”><span>Like</span></span> <span class=”loading”>Loading…</span></p> </div> </div> </div> <p class=”postmetadata”>Posted in <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/category/strategy/” rel=”category tag”>Strategy</a> | Leave a Comment</p> <p><strong><a href=”https://blockads.fivefilters.org”>Let’s block ads!</a></strong> <a href=”https://github.com/fivefilters/block-ads/wiki/There-are-no-acceptable-ads”>(Why?)</a></p> Thu, 08 Sep 2016 15:00:14 +0000 Tobias Carlisle article Speaking in Philadelphia at The MicroCap Conference 2016 on October 24th and 25th https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/08/speaking-in-philadelphia-at-the-microcap-conference-2016-on-october-24th-and-25th/ I’ll be speaking about my books and research in Philadelphia at The MicroCap Conference on October 24th and 25th. Should be a lot of fun. The focus of The MicroCap Conference is to highlight … https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/09/micro-cap-conference.png en text/html https://greenbackd.com/2016/09/08/speaking-in-philadelphia-at-the-microcap-conference-2016-on-october-24th-and-25th/ Strategy https://greenbackd.com/2016/07/28/a-growth-stock-trading-at-a-distressed-price/ http://greenbackd.com/?p=84495 <div class=”posttitle” readability=”26.653846153846″> <h2>A Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price</h2> <p class=”post-info”>July 28, 2016 by <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/author/greenbackd/” title=”Posts by Tobias Carlisle”>Tobias Carlisle</a></p> </div> <div class=”entry” readability=”31.871704745167″> <p><img class=”aligncenter size-full wp-image-84295″ src=”https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/singular-diligence-header.png?w=500&amp;h=211″ alt=”Singular Diligence Header” width=”500″ height=”211″ /></p> <p>It’s one of the cheapest stocks we’ve written about in Singular Diligence. Right now, it trades at a huge discount to comparable companies and historical prices paid in the past for acquisitions of companies.</p> <p>Cheaper than many peers while also having better growth prospects than those peers, it’s a growth stock that trades at an unusual discount for a company that isn’t seriously troubled.</p> <p><a href=”http://singulardiligence.com/restaurant-group-plc-lonrtn-rtn/” target=”_blank”>Click here to learn more</a></p> <div id=”jp-post-flair” class=”sharedaddy sd-rating-enabled sd-like-enabled sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”sd-block sd-rating”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Rate this:</h3> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled”> <div class=”robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing”> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Share this:</h3> </div> </div> <div class=”sharedaddy sd-block sd-like jetpack-likes-widget-wrapper jetpack-likes-widget-unloaded” id=”like-post-wrapper-5581605-84495-57f51c0ddca58″ data-src=”//widgets.wp.com/likes/#blog_id=5581605&amp;post_id=84495&amp;origin=greenbackd.wordpress.com&amp;obj_id=5581605-84495-57f51c0ddca58″ data-name=”like-post-frame-5581605-84495-57f51c0ddca58″> <h3 class=”sd-title”>Like this:</h3> <p><span class=”button”><span>Like</span></span> <span class=”loading”>Loading…</span></p> </div> </div> </div> <p class=”postmetadata”>Posted in <a href=”https://greenbackd.com/category/strategy/” rel=”category tag”>Strategy</a> | Leave a Comment</p> <p><strong><a href=”https://blockads.fivefilters.org”>Let’s block ads!</a></strong> <a href=”https://github.com/fivefilters/block-ads/wiki/There-are-no-acceptable-ads”>(Why?)</a></p> Thu, 28 Jul 2016 15:00:28 +0000 Tobias Carlisle article A Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price https://greenbackd.com/2016/07/28/a-growth-stock-trading-at-a-distressed-price/ It’s one of the cheapest stocks we’ve written about in Singular Diligence. Right now, it trades at a huge discount to comparable companies and historical prices paid in the past for acquisiti… https://greenbackd.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/singular-diligence-header.png en text/html https://greenbackd.com/2016/07/28/a-growth-stock-trading-at-a-distressed-price/ Strategy

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A Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price

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By pixel2013 from PixabayA Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price

A Growth Stock Trading At A Distressed Price

Singular Diligence Header

It’s one of the cheapest stocks we’ve written about in Singular Diligence. Right now, it trades at a huge discount to comparable companies and historical prices paid in the past for acquisitions of companies.

Cheaper than many peers while also having better growth prospects than those peers, it’s a growth stock that trades at an unusual discount for a company that isn’t seriously troubled.

Click here to learn more

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Published at Thu, 28 Jul 2016 15:00:28 +0000

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