Turov Share 0 Tweet Trader’s Wire Market Update for Monday, May 15, 2017 The SPX declined 3.54 points yesterday to close at 2390.90. TOT daily traders were on the sidelines for the fifth session in a row, while followers of our Intermediate Model were short for the session. Since initiation of the Turov on Timing service on September 30, 1993, our daily trader recommendations have gained 17246.77cumulative SPX points, compared to a gain of 1931.97 points in the index itself over the same period. That’s a ratio of 8.93 to one. (Please note that any day in which the daily model fails to outperform the SPX by at least a ratio of +8.93 to one, since that’s the ratio of outperformance already achieved, that ratio will decline.) (The commentary in this paragraph last updated November 10, 2016) The super long term perspective (a prediction, not a forecast!) for the stock market remains bearish (as it has been since January 2000 after having been bullish for over 25 years, from December 1974 until then). I believe that, adjusted for REAL inflation (not the funny numbers the Social Security Administration uses) the stock market will be lower in real dollars in 2020 than it was in 2000. For a long time, I’ve been saying, “I also expect that our new 2016-elected President will have some very serious problems during his/her single term in office.” That belief stands. (The commentary in this paragraph last updated May 10, 2017.) The Intermediate Term Model remains bearish. But while it is bearish, in the absence of a bearish news catalyst, I don’t expect the decline to be any more robust than the advance that preceded it. The daily model is slightly bullish for today, but in the absence of news, the projected advance is likely to be minimal. TOT daily traders are advised to go 200% long at the market. Once long, use a 1% protective sell stop on the position.