Trader’s Wire Market Update for Tuesday, June 6, 2017

Trader’s Wire Market Update for Tuesday, June 6, 2017

The SPX declined 2.97 points yesterday to close at 2436.10.   TOT daily traders went 100% short at SPX 2437.83 and have held the position overnight and into today.

 

Since initiation of the Turov on Timing service on September 30, 1993, our daily trader recommendations have gained 17250.81 cumulative SPX points, compared to a gain of 1977.17 points in the index itself over the same period.  That’s a ratio of 8.73 to one.  (Please note that any day in which the daily model fails to outperform the SPX by at least a ratio of +8.73 to one, since that’s the ratio of outperformance already achieved, that ratio will decline.)

 

(The commentary in this paragraph last updated November 10, 2016) The super long term perspective (a prediction, not a forecast!) for the stock market remains bearish (as it has been since January 2000 after having been bullish for over 25 years, from December 1974 until then).  I believe that, adjusted for REAL inflation (not the funny numbers the Social Security Administration uses) the stock market will be lower in real dollars in 2020 than it was in 2000.  For a long time, I’ve been saying, “I also expect that our new 2016-elected President will have some very serious problems during his/her single term in office.”  That belief stands.

 

(The commentary in this paragraph last updated May 10, 2017.)  The Intermediate Term Model remains bearish.  But while it is bearish, in the absence of a bearish news catalyst,  I don’t expect the decline to be any more robust than the advance that preceded it.

 

The daily model is modestly bearish today.  TOT daily traders come into today’s session an unleveraged 100% short.  Lower the protective buy stop on the position to SPX 2455.  If the SPX declines to 2430, lower the stop to SPX 2435, and for each additional 5 point decline (if it occurs), lower the stop by an equivalent 5 points.  If still short as we approach the close, carry the position overnight and into Wednesday.

About the author

Daniel Turov

In 1994, he was named “Supertrader of Wall Street” by the Stock Trader’s Almanac. In 2001, he was named “Supertrader of the Millennium” by the Stock Trader’s Almanac. He’s been a Securities and Exchange Commission Registered Investment Advisor and a member of the National Futures Association and is licensed by the State of California as a Life agent. Since 1993, he’s authored Turov on Timing, a monthly and daily publication specializing in stock market timing. Turov Investment Group Inc. (as a corporation) and Daniel Turov (as an individual) are California licensed Registered Investment Advisers. Investors from all 50 U.S. states and most foreign nations are welcomed as clients.